← Grand Archive: Phantom Monarchs - Regional Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Grand Archive: Phantom Monarchs - Regional Championship
decks
4
(9.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
12-10-2
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.4%
avg ELO +2.4 per match
expected value
47.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1317
· median 1270
· range 1206–1520
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1192
Q3 1420
1543
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 18.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 40.0% | -6.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 11.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.0% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +4.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.8 |
| Wind Byakko | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.0% | +12.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.9% | +11.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Chess | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
